Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARM67923
Meuble de rangement - HOME DECO FACTORY - HDE7519 - 3 étagères - Couleu Blanc - Métal - Design épuré
longtail
1P + 3P
MEUBLE DE SEJOUR - ENTREE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
20
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
2
≈ 4.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 149
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-10-02
AAARM67923
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 100 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Meuble de rangement - HOME DECO FACTORY - HDE7519 - 3 étagères - Couleu Blanc - Métal - Design épuré · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (238 days of history, 15 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 4.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 99.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.9K |