Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARL25191
Sac urinaire portable pour hommes – Réutilisable, étanche, idéal pour les voyages et l’extérieur
longtail
3P
PARAPHARMACIE LIBRE-SERVICE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
184
≈ 82.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 194
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-27
AAARL25191
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac urinaire portable pour hommes – Réutilisable, étanche, idéal pour les voyages et l’extérieur · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 184 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (350 days of history, 113 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 18.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 60.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.8K |