Demand Forecast

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Gel Nettoyant Purifiant - CHRISTELLE PARIS - 200 ml - Peaux grasses - Acné - Élimine les impuretés
SKU · AAARK63730

Gel Nettoyant Purifiant - CHRISTELLE PARIS - 200 ml - Peaux grasses - Acné - Élimine les impuretés

hero 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

12
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

994
≈ 111.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 40
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAARK63730

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 266 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Gel Nettoyant Purifiant - CHRISTELLE PARIS - 200 ml - Peaux grasses - Acné - Élimine les impuretés · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 994 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (385 days of history, 487 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.08 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 30 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week3.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks20.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months62.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week13.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)81.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)265.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)4.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 10.7K