Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARI57538
Tapis de plage - OM - OM15300-08 - 60x180 cm - Léger - Résistant
midtail
3P
LINGE DE PLAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
61
▲ 916.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
7
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-03
AAARI57538
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 450 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tapis de plage - OM - OM15300-08 - 60x180 cm - Léger - Résistant · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 61 units, trending up +916.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (427 days of history, 76 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.31 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 61 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 13.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 45.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 175.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 30.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 103.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 450.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.5K |