Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARI57309
Chaise de camping - CK - CK-002F - Pliable - Ergonomique - Tissu résistant
longtail
1P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 400.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
265
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
111
≈ 87.8 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 112
avg of last 25 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAARI57309
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 151 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaise de camping - CK - CK-002F - Pliable - Ergonomique - Tissu résistant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +400.0% · on-hand 111 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (378 days of history, 34 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 38.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 44.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 150.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.9K |