Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARH49042
Kit de sécurité 3 en 1 : triangle, gilet réfléchissant et extincteur avec housse.
longtail
3P
AIDE A LA CONDUITE - SECURITE
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▲ 5.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
19
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 57
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAARH49042
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 85 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Kit de sécurité 3 en 1 : triangle, gilet réfléchissant et extincteur avec housse. · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending up +5.9% · on-hand 19 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (406 days of history, 69 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.14 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 30.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 84.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.8K |