Demand Forecast

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Masque en Feuille Cica Arbre Thé Seoul Glam 25ml
SKU · AAARH25485

Masque en Feuille Cica Arbre Thé Seoul Glam 25ml

hero 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

37
▲ 68.2% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

52
≈ 7.0 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 9
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAARH25485

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 320 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Masque en Feuille Cica Arbre Thé Seoul Glam 25ml · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 37 units, trending up +68.2% · on-hand 52 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (371 days of history, 383 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 37 units · prev 4w = 22 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week8.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks36.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months99.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week21.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)99.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)319.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)7.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.9K