Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARH25279
Masque en Feuille Acide Hyaluronique Seoul Glam 25ml
hero
1P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
85
▲ 37.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
10
≈ 0.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 9
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAARH25279
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 437 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Masque en Feuille Acide Hyaluronique Seoul Glam 25ml · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 85 units, trending up +37.1% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (238 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 85 units · prev 4w = 62 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 14.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 62.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 173.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 28.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 143.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 436.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 13.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.9K |