Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARG51795
Verres à Eau - GENERIC - XM21B - 270ml - Lot de 6 - Transparent - Compatible lave-vaisselle
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
258
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
79
≈ 84.9 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 61
avg of last 10 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAARG51795
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verres à Eau - GENERIC - XM21B - 270ml - Lot de 6 - Transparent - Compatible lave-vaisselle · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 79 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (203 days of history, 27 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 76.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.6K |