Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARD98495
Tondeuse Electriques Barbe, tondeuse à cheveux AT-118 Rechargeable, haut qualité
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 71.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
987
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 89
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAARD98495
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 68 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse Electriques Barbe, tondeuse à cheveux AT-118 Rechargeable, haut qualité · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -71.4% · on-hand 987 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (378 days of history, 61 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.62 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 25.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.1K |