Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAARB42204
Lot de 3 shampoings: 2xCadum Œufs 190 ml + 1xCadum Gelée Royale
midtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 400.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+900.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
56
≈ 38.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 20
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAARB42204
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 3 shampoings: 2xCadum Œufs 190 ml + 1xCadum Gelée Royale · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +400.0% · on-hand 56 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (406 days of history, 74 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 32.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 44.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 146.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.0K |