Demand Forecast

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MINISTAR - Palette de Maquillage Professionnelle – 12 Teintes Crème – Fond de Teint, Contour, Correcteur, Blush & Highlighter
SKU · AAARA59186

MINISTAR - Palette de Maquillage Professionnelle – 12 Teintes Crème – Fond de Teint, Contour, Correcteur, Blush & Highlighter

midtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

14
▼ 46.2% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

21
≈ 7.0 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 44
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAARA59186

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 151 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

MINISTAR - Palette de Maquillage Professionnelle – 12 Teintes Crème – Fond de Teint, Contour, Correcteur, Blush & Highlighter · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending down -46.2% · on-hand 21 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (378 days of history, 156 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 26 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week4.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks20.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months56.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week10.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)48.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)150.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)4.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.6K