Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQU95079
Gel Nettoyant Éclaircissant - Marque Non Spécifiée - 200 ml - Vitamine C - Niacinamide - Anti-Taches
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
9
≈ 1.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAQU95079
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 230 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Gel Nettoyant Éclaircissant - Marque Non Spécifiée - 200 ml - Vitamine C - Niacinamide - Anti-Taches · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (378 days of history, 368 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.09 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 43.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 55.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 230.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.7K |