Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQR84076
Crème - Bepanthen 5% - 100g - Hypoallergénique - Tous types de peau
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
29
▲ 31.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
2,039
≈ 585.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 69
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAQR84076
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 138 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Crème - Bepanthen 5% - 100g - Hypoallergénique - Tous types de peau · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 29 units, trending up +31.8% · on-hand 2039 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (371 days of history, 187 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 29 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 17.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 45.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 138.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.6K |