Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQR81628
Bouteille d’eau en verre - GENERIC - 1L - Couvercle pratique - Hydratation stylée - Idéale pour sorties
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
30
▲ 900.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+2900.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
41
≈ 24.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-20
AAAQR81628
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouteille d’eau en verre - GENERIC - 1L - Couvercle pratique - Hydratation stylée - Idéale pour sorties · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 30 units, trending up +900.0% · on-hand 41 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (406 days of history, 87 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.02 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 30 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 19.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 67.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.5K |