Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQR81628
Bouteille d’eau en verre - GENERIC - 1L - Couvercle pratique - Hydratation stylée - Idéale pour sorties
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1,122
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
39
≈ 24.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-13
AAAQR81628
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 148 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouteille d’eau en verre - GENERIC - 1L - Couvercle pratique - Hydratation stylée - Idéale pour sorties · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 39 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (434 days of history, 83 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 15.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 62.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 148.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.3K |