Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQR04247
Plat présentation - K1813-2 - Verre - Rond - 20.5x20.5x8.2cm - Blanc
midtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▲ 600.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
62
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAQR04247
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 168 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Plat présentation - K1813-2 - Verre - Rond - 20.5x20.5x8.2cm - Blanc · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending up +600.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (455 days of history, 135 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 21.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 73.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 46.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 167.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |