Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAQR03922
Plat présentation en Verre - K1813-1 - 15x7,3 cm
midtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 120.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
43
≈ 9.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 24
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAQR03922
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 133 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Plat présentation en Verre - K1813-1 - 15x7,3 cm · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +120.0% · on-hand 43 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (385 days of history, 111 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.43 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 38.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 132.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.2K |