Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQR03919
Set de 3 Poêles à pois 18/22/26 cm Hascever
hero
1P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 77.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-97.3%
vs same 4w last year (73 units)
Current stock
555
≈ 35.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 120
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAAQR03919
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 292 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 3 Poêles à pois 18/22/26 cm Hascever · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -77.8% · on-hand 555 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (399 days of history, 804 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.67 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 48.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 76.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 292.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 35.1K |