Demand Forecast

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Bouteille d’eau - GENERIC - 300 ml - Verre - Transparent - Compacte et pratique
SKU · AAAQQ14173

Bouteille d’eau - GENERIC - 300 ml - Verre - Transparent - Compacte et pratique

longtail 1P SERVICE DE TABLE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)

Current stock

9
≈ 4.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 21
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02

AAAQQ14173

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 135 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Bouteille d’eau - GENERIC - 300 ml - Verre - Transparent - Compacte et pratique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 9 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (392 days of history, 96 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.07 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months32.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)40.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)135.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.5
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.8K