Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQQ13581
6 verres à eau 270 ml DM327-2
hero
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 21.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-85.7%
vs same 4w last year (77 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 49
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAAQQ13581
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 211 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
6 verres à eau 270 ml DM327-2 · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -21.4% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (399 days of history, 548 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 48.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 56.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 210.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.3K |