Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQQ03268
L'ORÉAL PARIS - Pack Huile Extra = Shampooing – 200 ml
midtail
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
41
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
29
≈ 4.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 105
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAQQ03268
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 328 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
L'ORÉAL PARIS - Pack Huile Extra = Shampooing – 200 ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 31 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (462 days of history, 200 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 33.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 144.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 66.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 328.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 34.5K |