Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQN79311
Serrure de sécurité pour réfrigérateur et congélateur, protection bébé (couleur aléatoire)
longtail
3P
SECURITE MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
72
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 32
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-04-10
AAAQN79311
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Serrure de sécurité pour réfrigérateur et congélateur, protection bébé (couleur aléatoire) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 72 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (315 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 25.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 76.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.4K |