Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQM87441
Verres à eau - GENERIC - NT16001200W - 340ml - Transparent - Lot de 6 pièces
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
2
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
-50.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 18
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-13
AAAQM87441
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 126 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verres à eau - GENERIC - NT16001200W - 340ml - Transparent - Lot de 6 pièces · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (399 days of history, 77 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.96 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 34.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 126.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.3K |