Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQM87438
Verres à Thé - GENERIC - Y903 - 6 pièces - 120ml - Verre à pied - Compatible lave-vaisselle
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
21
▲ 162.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
438
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
58
≈ 75.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAQM87438
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 84 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verres à Thé - GENERIC - Y903 - 6 pièces - 120ml - Verre à pied - Compatible lave-vaisselle · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, trending up +162.5% · on-hand 58 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (455 days of history, 38 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.93 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 16.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 43.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 83.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.2K |