Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQM72328
Souris sans fil - Non spécifié - Rechargeable - Ergonomique - Silencieuse - Bluetooth/USB 2,4 GHz
longtail
3P
CLAVIER - SOURIS - WEBCAM
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAQM72328
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 125 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Souris sans fil - Non spécifié - Rechargeable - Ergonomique - Silencieuse - Bluetooth/USB 2,4 GHz · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (448 days of history, 157 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 56.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 125.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.3K |