Demand Forecast

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Smartwatch Bluetooth Sport Mixte – Montre Connectée Élégante et Multifonction
SKU · AAAQL93671

Smartwatch Bluetooth Sport Mixte – Montre Connectée Élégante et Multifonction

longtail 3P MONTRE INTELLIGENTE - MONTRE CONNECTEE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

6
▼ 57.1% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

4
≈ 2.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 67
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAAQL93671

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 78 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Smartwatch Bluetooth Sport Mixte – Montre Connectée Élégante et Multifonction · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -57.1% · on-hand 4 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (378 days of history, 90 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 14 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week3.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks11.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months28.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)30.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)78.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.3K