Demand Forecast

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Montre Connectée Sport Waterproof avec Moniteur de Fréquence Cardiaque et Pression Artérielle - Noir
SKU · AAAQL90683

Montre Connectée Sport Waterproof avec Moniteur de Fréquence Cardiaque et Pression Artérielle - Noir

longtail 3P MONTRE INTELLIGENTE - MONTRE CONNECTEE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▲ 66.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

98
≈ 34.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 60
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAAQL90683

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 109 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Montre Connectée Sport Waterproof avec Moniteur de Fréquence Cardiaque et Pression Artérielle - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +66.7% · on-hand 98 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (406 days of history, 163 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.34 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months31.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)32.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)108.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.5K