Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQK96424
Bouteille en verre 550 ml avec couvercle-tasse 140 ml – Modèle TY007
midtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
42
▲ 121.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
134
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P)
1P stock
128
≈ 37.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAQK96424
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 164 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouteille en verre 550 ml avec couvercle-tasse 140 ml – Modèle TY007 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 42 units, trending up +121.1% · on-hand 128 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (280 days of history, 142 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 42 units · prev 4w = 19 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 12.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 32.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 80.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 164.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.1K |