Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQK96424
Bouteille en verre 550 ml avec couvercle-tasse 140 ml – Modèle TY007
midtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
113
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
111
≈ 34.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAQK96424
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 279 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouteille en verre 550 ml avec couvercle-tasse 140 ml – Modèle TY007 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 111 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (343 days of history, 162 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 76.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 278.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.2K |