Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQH39408
Cintres en Plastique - GENERIC - Set de 10 - 44,5cm - Barre de Pantalon - Noir
hero
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
49
▼ 19.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
504
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 19
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAQH39408
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 337 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cintres en Plastique - GENERIC - Set de 10 - 44,5cm - Barre de Pantalon - Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 49 units, trending down -19.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (532 days of history, 469 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 49 units · prev 4w = 61 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 91.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 29.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 103.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 337.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.4K |