Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQH39408
Cintres en Plastique - GENERIC - Set de 10 - 44,5cm - Barre de Pantalon - Noir
midtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
35
▼ 12.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
494
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
19
≈ 3.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 20
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAQH39408
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 426 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cintres en Plastique - GENERIC - Set de 10 - 44,5cm - Barre de Pantalon - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 35 units, trending down -12.5% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (469 days of history, 388 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 35 units · prev 4w = 40 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 10.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 42.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 178.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 80.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 426.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.4K |