Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQH39408
Cintres en Plastique - GENERIC - Set de 10 - 44,5cm - Barre de Pantalon - Noir
midtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 85.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+225.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
97
≈ 17.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 11
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAAQH39408
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 286 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cintres en Plastique - GENERIC - Set de 10 - 44,5cm - Barre de Pantalon - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -85.9% · on-hand 97 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (420 days of history, 308 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.30 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 92 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 14.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 50.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 20.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 98.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 285.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.3K |