Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQH19045
Sac isotherme - GENIRIC - Lunch bag Flowers - Multicolore - 24 x 17 x 13 cm - Urbain
longtail
1P
REPAS NOMADE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 300.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
13
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 49
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAAQH19045
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac isotherme - GENIRIC - Lunch bag Flowers - Multicolore - 24 x 17 x 13 cm - Urbain · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +300.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (371 days of history, 52 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.0K |