Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQG43873
Table de Camping - Charcoal - 80x60x70cm - Robuste - Pliable - Idéale pour extérieur - Noir
midtail
1P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 85.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
42
≈ 10.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 157
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAAQG43873
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 383 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Table de Camping - Charcoal - 80x60x70cm - Robuste - Pliable - Idéale pour extérieur - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -85.9% · on-hand 42 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (406 days of history, 190 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.58 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 85 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 13.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 53.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 143.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 26.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 116.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 382.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 60.2K |