Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQG43872
Sac Isotherme - CJ1976 - Bleu - 23x24 cm - Portable - 5 L
longtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 300.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
138
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
32
≈ 32.0 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 44
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAQG43872
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 121 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac Isotherme - CJ1976 - Bleu - 23x24 cm - Portable - 5 L · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +300.0% · on-hand 32 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (385 days of history, 45 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 29.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 120.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.3K |