Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAQG43870
Pack Glacière Passive Atlantic Set 24L + 2 Icebloc
longtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
21
▲ 600.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+162.5%
vs same 4w last year (8 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 138
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2025-08-27
AAAQG43870
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 53 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack Glacière Passive Atlantic Set 24L + 2 Icebloc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, trending up +600.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (399 days of history, 42 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.21 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 15.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 3.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 52.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.3K |