Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQF47410
CHAISE CAMPING PROMO ALU BEIGE W.59XH.109CM
longtail
1P
MEUBLES D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
43
▲ 59.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 220
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-25
AAAQF47410
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 191 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CHAISE CAMPING PROMO ALU BEIGE W.59XH.109CM · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 43 units, trending up +59.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (434 days of history, 103 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.45 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 43 units · prev 4w = 27 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 10.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 33.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 90.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 67.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 190.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 41.9K |