Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQF47410
CHAISE CAMPING PROMO ALU BEIGE W.59XH.109CM
longtail
1P
MEUBLES D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 550.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
120
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
43
≈ 47.1 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 295
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAAQF47410
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 79 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CHAISE CAMPING PROMO ALU BEIGE W.59XH.109CM · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +550.0% · on-hand 43 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (399 days of history, 48 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 27.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 78.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.2K |