Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAQF47407
Table de Camping - Couleur Bois - 80x60x70 cm - 4 Places - Aluminium - Rectangulaire
midtail
1P
MEUBLE DE SEJOUR - ENTREE
Last 4 weeks demand
34
▼ 48.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+54.5%
vs same 4w last year (22 units)
Current stock
32
≈ 5.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 155
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAQF47407
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 324 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Table de Camping - Couleur Bois - 80x60x70 cm - 4 Places - Aluminium - Rectangulaire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 34 units, trending down -48.5% · on-hand 32 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (413 days of history, 213 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.97 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 34 units · prev 4w = 66 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 11.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 48.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 105.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 21.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 122.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 323.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 50.2K |