Demand Forecast

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-Maybelline New York Lifter Crayon Contour des Lèvres 1,2 g (Teinte : 01 Cross The Line)
SKU · AAAQA84501

-Maybelline New York Lifter Crayon Contour des Lèvres 1,2 g (Teinte : 01 Cross The Line)

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

23
≈ 38.0 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 60
avg of last 24 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAAQA84501

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 45 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

-Maybelline New York Lifter Crayon Contour des Lèvres 1,2 g (Teinte : 01 Cross The Line) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 23 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (259 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.45 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months13.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)13.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)44.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.7K