Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPU09415
Boîte à mouchoirs - GENERIC - EP-636 - Transparent - Design élégant - Pratique pour bureau
longtail
1P
OBJET DE DECORATION - BIBELOT
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
53
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
47
≈ 71.1 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-04-03
AAAPU09415
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte à mouchoirs - GENERIC - EP-636 - Transparent - Design élégant - Pratique pour bureau · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 47 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (364 days of history, 31 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 20.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 72.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.0K |