Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAPU09413
Lot de 2 Thermos Isothermes Premium – 0,7 L & 1,0 L
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
44
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
44
≈ 30.7 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 93
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AAAPU09413
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 2 Thermos Isothermes Premium – 0,7 L & 1,0 L · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 44 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (203 days of history, 43 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.63 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 72.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.7K |