Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPT42945
Rotencide Poudre pour la fabrication d’appât raticide à usage professionnel ou domestique
longtail
3P
INSECTICIDE - RATICIDE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
141
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 4
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AAAPT42945
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 141 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Rotencide Poudre pour la fabrication d’appât raticide à usage professionnel ou domestique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, stable demand · on-hand 141 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (336 days of history, 57 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 28.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 37.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 140.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 505 |