Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPT08672
Table Pliable Rectangulaire 51,9 x 39,8 x 38,8 cm Réf 60 "couleur aléatoire"
longtail
1P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
33
▲ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
9
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 50
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAPT08672
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 183 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Table Pliable Rectangulaire 51,9 x 39,8 x 38,8 cm Réf 60 "couleur aléatoire" · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 33 units, trending up +57.1% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (455 days of history, 132 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.18 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 33 units · prev 4w = 21 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 13.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 38.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 97.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 21.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 66.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 182.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.1K |