Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPS23538
Table de Camping - Pliante - 80x60x70cm - Aluminium - 4 places - Blanc
midtail
3P
MEUBLE DE SEJOUR - ENTREE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 52.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-25.0%
vs same 4w last year (16 units)
Current stock
151
≈ 31.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 158
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAPS23538
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 338 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Table de Camping - Pliante - 80x60x70cm - Aluminium - 4 places - Blanc · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -52.0% · on-hand 151 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (406 days of history, 166 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.19 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 25 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 34.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 89.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 22.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 112.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 337.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 53.4K |