Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAPS23522
Table de Camping - Vert Pistache - 80x60x70cm - 4 places - Aluminium - Rectangulaire
longtail
1P
MEUBLE DE SEJOUR - ENTREE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-70.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
139
≈ 67.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 162
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAPS23522
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 278 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Table de Camping - Vert Pistache - 80x60x70cm - 4 places - Aluminium - Rectangulaire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 139 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (406 days of history, 39 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.60 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 10.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 49.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 69.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 278.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 45.0K |