Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAPS23521
Mini table de camping — 64 × 42 × 29,5 cm — Légère et pliable
longtail
1P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Last 4 weeks demand
52
▲ 79.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+420.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
27
≈ 14.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 180
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAPS23521
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 179 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mini table de camping — 64 × 42 × 29,5 cm — Légère et pliable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 52 units, trending up +79.3% · on-hand 27 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (434 days of history, 83 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 52 units · prev 4w = 29 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 31.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 65.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 70.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 178.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 32.2K |