Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPS17194
Mariette Savon au fiel de bœuf authentique - détachant pour textiles - 100g
longtail
3P
ENTRETIEN DU LINGE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-06-30 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 52
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-04-10
AAAPS17194
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mariette Savon au fiel de bœuf authentique - détachant pour textiles - 100g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (427 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 53.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.8K |