Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPP65911
Grattoir à langue en inox – Réutilisable, haleine fraîche, hygiène buccale, 1 pièce
longtail
3P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▼ 57.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+166.7%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)
Current stock
10
≈ 4.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAPP65911
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 164 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Grattoir à langue en inox – Réutilisable, haleine fraîche, hygiène buccale, 1 pièce · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -57.9% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (434 days of history, 132 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.87 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 38 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 22.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 59.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 60.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 164.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.3K |