Demand Forecast

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Maybelline New York - Blush à Lèvres Teddy Tint - Effet Mat Fondu - Tenue Longue Durée - Teinte : PINKY PROMISE (45)
SKU · AAAPO39633

Maybelline New York - Blush à Lèvres Teddy Tint - Effet Mat Fondu - Tenue Longue Durée - Teinte : PINKY PROMISE (45)

longtail 1P + 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

23
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

1
≈ 0.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05

Unit price

MAD 73
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-24

AAAPO39633

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 47 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Maybelline New York - Blush à Lèvres Teddy Tint - Effet Mat Fondu - Tenue Longue Durée - Teinte : PINKY PROMISE (45) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 1 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (476 days of history, 46 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.02 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks6.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months23.2 units
Optimistic — next week2.2 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)11.1 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)46.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.4K