Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAPN66132
Coussin Cou de Voyage TA33218 - couleur aléatoire
longtail
1P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 8.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+266.7%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 100
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-04-20
AAAPN66132
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 79 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Coussin Cou de Voyage TA33218 - couleur aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -8.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (399 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 21.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 79.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.9K |