Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPM77268
Boîte de rangement - GENERIC - MM - Couleur aléatoire - Plastique - Design contemporain
hero
1P
PETIT MEUBLE COMPLEMENT
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▼ 44.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAPM77268
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 251 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de rangement - GENERIC - MM - Couleur aléatoire - Plastique - Design contemporain · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending down -44.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (441 days of history, 433 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.17 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 25 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 26.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 72.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 72.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 250.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.1K |