Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPM77228
3 cintres en plastique effet bois noir KRN-126
longtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
323
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
4
≈ 1.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 11
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-04
AAAPM77228
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 188 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
3 cintres en plastique effet bois noir KRN-126 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (427 days of history, 155 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.50 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 20.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 75.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 187.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.1K |