Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPM09342
Citytek — Enceinte Bluetooth multifonction 6-en-1 MF109348
longtail
1P + 3P
AMPLIFICATEUR - ENCEINTES
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▲ 140.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
26
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
1
≈ 0.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 79
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-10
AAAPM09342
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Citytek — Enceinte Bluetooth multifonction 6-en-1 MF109348 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending up +140.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (539 days of history, 77 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.98 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 21.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 9.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 65.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.2K |